Monday, December 23, 2024

3 Chart Patterns That Cut Through the Market’s Chaos

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Every day when I turn on the computer, one of the first things I do is go through my stock charts. I like it more than a kid likes ice cream.

The world is full of potential as I view the various setups and consider how I’m going to approach my trading for the day.

I use technical analysis – the study of stock charts – to make sense of all the price data that bombards traders and analysts every second of the trading day.

Analysts can make technical analysis incredibly complicated, and they often do. There are endless ways of analyzing price data.

But the truth is, I don’t use 90% of it. What I find most useful when analyzing stock charts is pattern recognition.

Today, I’ll review three of the patterns that I use regularly in my VIP Trading Research Service Technical Pattern Profits to help generate profits no matter which direction the market – or individual stocks I’m trading – is headed.

The “World Record Pattern”

The first is the World Record Pattern, or the bull flag pattern.

It occurs when a stock makes a sharp move higher (also known as the “flagpole”) and then consolidates for a short period. Once the stock breaks out of that consolidation, it typically moves higher by the same height as the flagpole.

Here’s a chart of Doximity (NYSE: DOCS) to show you what I mean. In August of this year, the stock jumped from about $26 to $37 in one day, creating a flagpole that was about $11 high. It took a breather for a few days, forming the flag, and then continued higher.

Chart: Doximity (NYSE: DOCS) in September 2024.

To figure out a price target, you take the height of the flagpole and add it to the breakout point. In this case, we’d expect the stock to reach $48 ($37 + $11). About two months after Doximity broke out, it reached $45.

Chart: Doximity (NYSE: DOCS) in October 2024

On October 23, I recommended closing the position for a 45% options gain in just 40 days.

Without a doubt, the breakout of the World Record Pattern is one of the clearest indicators of when a trader should buy…

But what about when to sell?

“Old Reliable”

Old Reliable, or the head and shoulders pattern, is bearish. It’s valuable for taking the emotion out of the decision to sell.

Old Reliable has been ranked the most consistent chart pattern – and for good reason. This chart pattern is 83% accurate in predicting a stock’s downward slide.

It gives you a clear warning sign before your stock begins its dive.

The head and shoulders pattern features three high points. The second, or the head, is higher than the first, or the left shoulder. But then the third, or the right shoulder, fails to reach the head, and the stock’s trading volume decreases. This suggests that buying interest is drying up.

Once the stock breaks the “neckline” (the line drawn from the bottom of the left shoulder to the bottom of the right shoulder), it usually slides lower. That means it’s time to sell.

Here’s this pattern in action on Viatris’ (Nasdaq: VTRS) stock chart. This was a rare occasion in that there were actually two right shoulders, but you can clearly see that the stock continued falling after it broke the neckline.

Chart: Viatris' (Nasdaq: VTRS) in June 2024.

“Power Channels”

To understand Power Channels – also called ascending channels – it’s important to understand resistance and support lines.

These are terms that traders use to describe price levels that act as barriers, preventing the price of the stock from moving outside of a specific trading range.

The resistance line is generally the price that the stock won’t push above. You can think of it as the “ceiling” for the stock. The support line is the floor of the stock’s trading range. It’s the price where traders feel the stock is too cheap, so they start buying again.

Here’s an example with Taylor Morrison Home Corp. (NYSE: TMHC)…

On October 24, I sent a notice to my subscribers saying, “The stock is bouncing off of the bottom of its channel. … Let’s jump on the stock, expecting it to rise to the top of the channel in the short term.” And then I recommended an option play to go with it.

Chart: Taylor Morrison Home Corp. (NYSE: TMHC) in October 2024

This Tuesday, less than three weeks after I recommended the stock, I sent another alert that said, “[The shares have] reached the top of the upward channel… That’s a good signal to grab our profits and move on.”

Chart: Taylor Morrison Home Corp. (NYSE: TMHC) in November 2024

Technical Pattern Profits subscribers had a chance to land a 49% gain in just 19 days on the options.

Do you see now? Technical analysis isn’t so hard when you know what patterns to look for and you can recognize them when they pop up on a trading screen.

They’ll help you remove the emotion from investing and give you a better chance to profit regardless of where the market – or a stock – is headed.





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